It is a 5 win for Pakatan Rakyat (PR), 1 win for Barisan National (BN), and another by-election at Manek Urai, Kelantan scheduled this July 14th 2009; an astonishing 7 by-elections since the March 8, 2008 General Elections.
Despite the low voters turnout of only 46% at the Penanti by-election, PR candidate Dr. Mansor Othman garnered 6,052 votes, securing a majority of 5,558, against his nearest rival Independent Nai Khan who secured 494 votes. All three Independent cadidates lost their deposits. The majority votes garnered by Dr. Mansor, though less compared to the 2008 elections, reflects the unflinching support for the PR in Penanti.
I reckoned that even if the BN had fielded a candidate, there was every possibility of the candidate losing the by-election. This should be a worring trend for the BN, and coupled with the losing streak in all previously held by-elections, only a miracle could overturn the results in favour of the BN in the next General Elections. The BN, after their poor outing in the 2008 General Elections had vowed for drastic changes within the party, but the results of the Penanti by-elections (although BN did not field a candidate) does not seemed to have changed the voters perception towards PR.
In the 2008 General Elections, the Penanti PR candidate Muhamed Fairus Khairuddin secured 7,346 votes, against his BN rival Datuk Abd. Jalil Majid who secured 5,127 votes. The voter turnout was 82% of a total voters population of 17,000 voters.
With the up-coming Manek Urai by-elections in July, the BN will have another opportunity at proving that their popularity and influence has not waned in Kelantan. My bet is that PR, through its PAS candidate will have a 60-40 chance of winning the by-elections. What then would be your bet?
CRUSADE AGAINST CORRUPTION
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7 comments:
Salam Dato'
Agree with your estimation on Manek Urai. When we want to correct ourselves we must 1st Insaf or in English redeem ourselves and I believe BN has not done this. It's useless to say or do all the good things but sweep all the wrongs that we as Wakil Rakyat has done under the carpet hoping for the people to forget it and use all the government instrument by abusing it to enforce this belief. If this is the mindset then we as Malaysian citizens have a duty to vote them out in the coming GE (2012?). We as Malaysian Citizens must make sure the Politicians are on their toes when elected, it's our National duty and we can progress to better heights. Insya'Allah.
Kisah seekor lagi al juburi di http://jamilismail.blogspot.com dan di http://jamilkucingpondan.blogspot.com
DEAR DATO'
EVEN IF THE CANDIDATE IS A MONKEY CLIMBING COCONUT TREES IN KELANTAN, HE WILL WIN HANDS DOWN! FIGURATIVELY SPEAKING !
THE UMNO AND BN IN THIS COUNTRY IS "HIS STORY" YES IT WAS MEANT TO BE SPELT THAT WAY, NOT A TYPING ERROR!
THEY WROTE THE STORY AND THEY CHANGED THE STORY..NOW IT IS THE END OF THE STORY....NO STORIES GOES ON FOREVER! NO ACTORS LIVE FOREVER....ALL WILL DIE...UMNO IS ON THE DEATH BED... ICU/CCU...LIVING ON LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM....WAIT FOR THE BEEP...... THE LONG ONE........! BINGO !
Sorry Folks have to make this posting here, it is very very important article. Dato Arshad my apologies to you, Sir.
BONG KEE CHOK
Sarawak use to have once famous and Very Notorious Communists...!
Yes his name is BONG KEE CHOK !
HE IS A RICH & SUCCESSFUL BUSINESSMAN TODAY IN KUCHING, SARAWAK!
IS SARAWAK NOT MALAYSIA? ARE WE HAVING TO SETS OF MALAYSIAN LAWS!
DID ANYBODY TRY AND KILL HIM?
DID ANY NEWS CAME OUT ABOUT MAKCIK TUA AND ANAK TUA CRYING ON TV ?
WHY ARE WE SO PARANOID?(I AM NOT!)
BECAUSE I HAVE ISLAM TO GUIDE ME!
IF THE TRUTH CANNOT BE TOLD AND WANT TO BE HIDDEN THEN, GOOD LUCK MALAYSIA......LAND OF LIES AND BETRAYAL BY THE PEOPLE IN POWER ITSELF..UMNO AND BN!
READ : "THE BORNEO POST, SUNDAY MAY 31 2009, ONE UPMANSHIP, STATESMAN SHIP & RECONCILIATION "
TUN RAHMAN YAKUB THE THEN CM SIGNED THE TREATY WITH BONG KEE CHOK AND HE KEPT IT TILL TODAY, IT WAS SIGNED IN 1974. SRI AMAN WAS CALLED SEMANGGANG LATER RENAMED SRI AMAN BECAUSE OF THIS TREATY, IT WAS SIGNED IN THE JUNGLES OF SEMINGGANG !
THAT IS HISTORY AND TOLD AS IT IS!
I HAVE TO SAY SARAWAKIANS ARE MORE GENTLEMAN THAN "SEMENANJUNG"...
I HAVE LIVED IN THIS COUNTY FOR MORE THAN HALF A CENTURY, IT IS GETTING FROM BAD TO WORST, I DREAD TO SAY ONE DAY WE WILL BECOME WORST THAN THE "SOMALIS"....
I DREAD TO SEE THAT DAY WILL HAPPEN, POLITICAL ANIMOSITY LEADS TO DESTRUCTION AND NOTHING ELSE!
GOOD BRAINS ARE THROWN DOWN THE DRAINS AND EMOTIONS RULE THE STUPID HEAD!
WHAT A SHAME TO BE A MALAYSIAN IN THE EYES OF THIS WORLD! A FAILED STATE!
MY SUGGESTION EARLIER WAS DELETED -DATO ?
IF THE COUNTRY WANTS TO BE SO SERIOUS AND UNFORGIVING ASKED TUN MAMAK TO REWRITE HISTORY, HE KNOWS BEST...HE WAS THE MASTERMIND OF THE TREATY IN HATYAI IN 1989!
HE IS AGAINST WAR!
WE SHOULD THAN FIND CHIN PENG GUILTY OF WAR AGAINST HUMANITY!
"HAVE A WAR CRIME TRIBUNAL CONVENED, A FAIR TRIAL AND PROOF HIM WRONG AND SENT HIM TO JAIL"
I REST MY CASE FOR NOW ADIOUS AMIGOS...
Dear Komando,
In some ways, I do agree with your comments. But there are public sentiments involved here. Even if the government were to agree with allowing Chin Peng back, how do we then cushioned the impact of public disagreement and anger, just for the sake of one person.
In the Sarawak case, the people must have accepted the conditions offered to Bong Kee Chok, and it is only honourable that the Sarawak government honours the conditions. And one also ought to understand the difference in culture between the people in Semenanjung and Sarawak. I suppose the Sarawakians are more forgiving.
Salam Dato' Islam teaches us to forgive and forget!
ALLAH swt forgives us of all our sins except SYIRIK!
WHO ARE WE NOT TO FORGIVE PEOPLE OTHERWISE AS I SAID EARLIER, WE HAVE A WAR CRIME TRIBUNAL AND LET THE COURTS DECIDE, : "AS IN ISLAM THE FAMILIES HAVE THE RIGHTS TO PERSECUTE OR FORGIVE"
ALLAH HU AKBAR!
ALLAH swt TAHU SEGALA NYA.
A good one I thought.
"Robert Whiting, an elderly Canadian gentleman of 83, arrived in Paris by plane. At French Customs, he took a few minutes to locate his passport in his carry on. “You have been to France before, monsieur?” the customs officer asked sarcastically.
Mr. Whiting admitted that he had been to France previously “Then you should know enough to have your passport ready.” The Canadian said, ”The last time I was here, I didn’t have to show it.” “Impossible! Canadians always have to show passports on arrival in France !”
The Canadian senior gave the Frenchman a long hard look. Then he quietly explained, ”Well, when I came ashore on D-Day in 1944 to help liberate this country, I couldn’t find a single fu*king Frenchmen to show a passport to.”
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